Happy Cryptomas to all of you! During the bullish state of the crypto market, margin-lending platforms and decentralised exchanges were the most often used DeFi protocols. Bitcoin is Up 167% so far this year, Ethereum has increased by 91%. On the other hand, the majority of assets in DeFi today are yield-bearing, which can include both interest-bearing lending positions and tokenized real-world assets like Treasury notes. However, the most important yield-bearing assets available today are liquid-staking protocols—basically, they allow users to assign their network tokens for the purpose of validating and securing a blockchain network.

How to trade in the crypto market in the winter season

Reduced trading activity during the holidays may result in higher volatility. It’s critical to be ready for unforeseen fluctuations in pricing. While there may be chances for short-term trading during this time, it may not be the best time to make long-term decisions.

Historical data occasionally reveals particular patterns over the holiday season. Although past success does not guarantee future outcomes, understanding these patterns can be instructive. Having a diverse portfolio can reduce risk. Think about distributing your investments over several asset classes or the bitcoin industry as a whole.

Predictions for the crypto market in Christmas season

As the festive season comes near, thoughts shift to family, friends, and of course, enjoyable activities that foster community. Even so, customary holiday pursuits like decorating the Christmas tree and spending time with loved ones are always fun. As Christmas comes closer, the crypto market has experienced tremendous growth in recent weeks. With the rise of fresh, creative initiatives, this is the ideal time to delve into the fascinating realm of cryptocurrency for a festive season.

It’s essential to take into account how the cryptocurrency industry is changing as 2024 comes near and what that might mean for the future. The industry witnessed a significant transition in 2023, with traditional spot trading being eclipsed by crypto derivatives trading. 

It is expected that this trend will continue until 2024, during which time decentralised finance (defi) derivatives will also continue to grow in popularity, indicating a renewed interest in decentralised finance.

In terms of funding, 2023 was difficult for cryptocurrency businesses as investment reached a three-year low, indicating investor caution in the face of a complex macroeconomic environment. Furthermore, the possibility of additional interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve in 2024 may have an impact on market conditions and the value of cryptocurrencies.

The projected halving of Bitcoin in April 2024 is a major event to watch in 2024. Although the size of this effect seems to be decreasing with each halving, historically, this event has caused price gains for Bitcoin. Furthermore, a new trend that is anticipated to improve transaction security and efficiency in 2024 and offer up new investment opportunities is the fusion of cryptocurrencies with artificial intelligence.

crypto market at Christmas: historical patterns and future prospects

Ethereum (ETH) stands out as the crypto market prepares for what might be a bull run leading up to Christmas, especially considering that JPMorgan analysts estimate it will surpass Bitcoin (BTC) in 2024. The cryptocurrency market, sometimes referred to as the “Santa Claus Rally,” has a track record of rising prior to the holidays. The enthusiasm level has increased in 2023 since the rally started right before Christmas.

As the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and other international officials started to press down on digital assets, Bitcoin (BTC) reached new 2023 highs in November, and other popular cryptocurrencies gained ground as well. It’s possible that the current surge in bitcoin helped push it above the $42,000 level and further out of the reach of the 2022 cryptocurrency winter.

The halving of Bitcoin is now only a few months away, and investors are confident enough to use any opportunity to buy low. The NiceHash countdown predicts that the Bitcoin halving will take place on April 12, 2024. 3.125 BTC will be the new mining incentive. The price of Bitcoin was expected to reach $60,000 by Matrixport Research prior to the halving.

For years, the idea of the Santa Claus rally has remained in the cryptocurrency space, particularly with regard to Bitcoin (BTC). This rally has also been seen in the cryptocurrency market. It is commonly noticed in traditional stock markets as a spike in asset values from late December to early January. Numerous factors, such as holiday optimism and reduced trade volumes because of the holidays, have an impact on the rally.

After plunging to record lows in 2022, Bitcoin made a huge comeback in 2023, rising over 100% by December of that year. The expected approval of the spot Bitcoin ETF and the impending Bitcoin halving in April 2024 were two factors that contributed to this increase. These occasions may broaden the attraction and accessibility of Bitcoin, resulting in a more optimistic assessment of the cryptocurrency market for Christmas and 2024.

Despite fluctuations, the volatility of Bitcoin fell to all-time lows in 2023, particularly in the third quarter. Events such as the U.S. banking crisis, which established Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, defined this period. This adds to a positive outlook for 2024 if things continue in this manner. The encouraging patterns of 2023 provide a solid basis for the optimistic outlook for 2024.

Conclusion

In order to assess the feasibility and financial gain of the Bitcoin Santa Claus Rally, particular time periods and percentage changes in price were considered. The months of December through the middle of January are the focus of most analysis. Using a three- to four-week time frame and a hypothetical entry price on December 25.

The next halving of Bitcoin is scheduled for April 2024. Halving has historically been an important bullish catalyst, lowering the amount of fresh bitcoins coming onto the market and causing a supply-side squeeze that could lead to price gains around Christmas.